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Thematics

(Extracted from thematic paper on Innovation Strengths and Weaknesses)

National strengths and weaknesses

The EIS results by country, combined with EXIS 1 data for innovation demand and governance, were used to explore national strengths and weaknesses. Many countries show marked differences in innovation capabilities. For instance, the Czech Republic performs much better on innovation demand and applications than on intellectual property. An important question of policy significance is if the best policy response is to further improve the country strengths or to improve areas of weakness.

The optimal policy response will depend on specific national conditions that might make it easier to improve the strengths than the weaknesses, or vice versa. In some cases building up the areas of strengths could have a positive influence on the weaknesses, as when investment in knowledge creation leads to higher levels of patenting. Alternatively, this might not occur if very poor performance in innovation and entrepreneurship acts as a barrier to an improvement in patenting.

This example points to two opposing perspectives on how innovative capabilities develop. The first suggests that innovative capabilities can spill over from areas of strengths to areas of weakness. The second perspective suggests that all inputs must develop approximately equally – a ‘blockage' in one field, such as poor knowledge creation or low levels of entrepreneurship, would prevent progress. Of course, both perspectives could also be true, depending on specific conditions or indicators.

A test of the second option is to correlate the variance for the seven composite indicators (the five EIS composite indices plus the two indices for demand and governance extracted from the EXIS report) against the SII. The variance is calculated after standardizing the results for each country to remove the performance effect, whereby some countries perform better on the EIS than other countries. A country with zero variance would perform identically on all seven composite indices. This could occur when all composite indices equal zero (very poor performance) or always equal to 1 (very good performance).

Low Variance

High Variance


EU average in grey – source : Strengths and Weaknesses report EIS 2005 & EXIS report

Figure 15 gives the correlation results between the variance and the SII for 21 countries for which there are complete data. Using a log-linear model, there is a statistically significant negative relationship, with performance on the SII declining with the amount of variance in the seven sub-indices (R 2 = 0.84, p < 0.001). This indicates that well-rounded and equivalent performance on all areas might increase innovation performance. This implies that, given equal costs, policy would be more effective in improving overall innovation performance by concentrating on improving areas of weakness than on making further improvements to areas of strength.

Figure 15. Negative correlation between variance and the SII

This implies that, given equal costs, policy would be more effective in improving overall innovation performance by concentrating on improving areas of weakness rather than on making further improvements to areas of strength. It also suggests that for countries where innovation performance is high, marginal gains are optimised when all dimensions of innovation are addressed together. This analysis could be taken into consideration when discussing policy orientations.


1 For the EXIS report, see Arundel, A. and H. Hollanders, EXIS: An Exploratory Approach to Innovation Scoreboards ( http://www.trendchart.org/scoreboards/scoreboard2004/scoreboard_papers.cfm ).

 
 




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